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Case Against State Planning

The fruits of development planning has been very disappointing  - after 40 years the process has simply failed to deliver higher output and income in almost all cases.  Why[1]?

q      Government planning may be more rigid and inflexible than private decision making because complex decision-making machinery may be involved in government.

q      Governments may be incapable of administering detailed plans.

q      Government controls may block private-sector individual initiative if there are many bureaucratic obstacles.

q      Organizations and individuals require incentives to work, innovate, control costs, and allocate efficiently, and the discipline and rewards of the market cannot easily be replicated within public enterprises and organizations. Public enterprises are often inefficient and wasteful.

q      Different levels and parts of government may be poorly coordinated

q      Controls create resource-using activities to influence those controls through lobbying and corruption—often called rent seeking or directly unproductive activities.

q      Planning may be manipulated by privileged and powerful groups that act in their own interests, and

q      Governments may be dominated by narrow interest groups interested in their own welfare and sometimes actively hostile to large sections of the population. Planning may intensify their power.

How can planning ‘go wrong’

Government decides (or influences through subsidies, tariffs etc) what how and for whom to produce. But this involves creating a group of planners who may make key economic decision but often have incomplete information or lack of experience resulting in:

q      ‘wrong’ choice of investment projects

q      inefficient implementation and management of these projects

q      inappropriate pricing and costing of output thereby distorting markets

For example:

Policy objective: growth by expanding industry. Policy instruments:

q      tariff protection

q      cheap loans (loans at below commercial rates of interest)

q      generous foreign-exchange allocations to import capital goods cheaply at overvalued exchange rates.

q      Result an excess capacity in the manufacturing sector ie industry cannot sell all its output ‘profitably’


[1] source Adapted from Nicholas Stern The economics of development Econ Journal 1999

 

 

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